AI economics and governance: working evaluations

AI-assisted working assessment; human adoption pending. These reports support prioritization and targeted follow-up. They do not enter human rating aggregates.

• Forecasting the Economic Effects of AI

  Substantive update 2026-10-04; attention check 2026-10-05.

• Recursive self-improvement + intelligence explosion

  Substantive update 2026-10-04; attention check 2026-10-05.

• Epoch AI compute smuggling to China

  Substantive update 2026-10-05; attention check 2026-10-05.

• Delays to Frontier AI in the EU and UK

  Substantive update 2026-10-05; attention check 2026-10-05.

• Economic Scenarios for Transformative AI

  Substantive update 2026-10-07; attention check 2026-10-07.

• The AGI Race and Existential Risk

  Substantive update 2026-10-04; attention check 2026-10-05.